Noise, a Flaw in Human Judgment

 

Noisy, without much signal – that's the unfortunate feel of the 2021 tome Noise: a Flaw in Human Judgment. Authors Daniel Kahneman and Cass Sunstein are semi-celebrity scholars; their co-author Olivier Sibony less so. Their joint work here lacks coherence, stylistic sparkle, or novel substance. Some bottom lines, from the "Review and Conclusion":

  • The goal of judgment is accuracy, not individual expression.
  • Think statistically, and take the outside view of the case.
  • Structure judgments into several independent tasks.
  • Resist premature intuitions.
  • Obtain independent judgments from multiple judges, then consider aggregating those judgments.
  • Favor relative judgments and relative scales.

OK, and ...?

(cf Infotopia (2010-06-13), Predictably Irrational (2011-02-22), Signal and Noise (2012-12-25), Thinking, Fast and Slow (2013-10-24), ...) - ^z - 2021-11-25